Economy contracts deeper into recession
Data from thinktank NIESR showed 0.2 percent drop in the three months ending July
By CFOWorld staff | CFO UK | Published 16:06, 07 August 12
The economy slipped deep into its second recession in four years in the three months to the end of July, according to new data published on Tuesday.
Gross domestic product fell by 0.2 percent in the period, after official data showed a sharp contraction of 0.7 percent between April and June, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research said in its monthly estimate.
the estimate was however distorted by an extra public holidays to celebrate the Queen’s Diamond Jubilee year, the leading think-tank said.
"These estimates suggest the UK's large negative output gap is widening," NIESR said. "We do not expect output to pass its peak in early 2008 until 2014."
The one bright spot was that NIESR's monthly GDP index rose to 102.4 in July from 101.0 in June, taking it to its highest level since December, raising the prospect that the economy may exit recession in the third quarter.
NIESR's estimate followed official data showing that manufacturing output shrank by 2.9 percent in June, sapped by extra public holidays, though the drop was smaller than first estimated.
On Wednesday, Bank of England governor Mervyn King looks set to give another gloomy outlook, as the economy continues to suffer from the effects of the euro zone debt crisis and a domestic austerity programme.
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